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China’s Economy Stepping into a Downward Spiral with Two Major Risks: Analysis

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News Analysis
China’s economy is moving into a downward spiral in the medium-to-long term due to demographic headwinds and declining productivity after it slowed down substantially in 2022 with GDP growth reaching its second lowest since 1977.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF), although expecting China’s economy to rebound in the short term, revised its medium-term growth forecast on Feb. 3, with the GDP growth being depreciated to 3.8 percent in 2027, compared to its previous projection of 4.6 percent. Such a downward trend will be expected to remain in 2025–2027, reflecting the persistent economic challenges in China.
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) made a longer-term forecast in its report published (pdf) in December 2022, predicting a gradual decline in China’s economic growth from an average of 5.3 percent in 2020–2025 to an average of 2 percent in 2036–2040….

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China Dismantles Prominent Uyghur Business Landmark in Xinjiang – Shia Waves

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The Chinese government demolished the Rebiya Kadeer Trade Center in Xinjiang, affecting Uyghur culture and commerce, prompting criticism from activists amid concerns over cultural erasure and human rights violations.


Demolition of a Cultural Landmark

The Chinese government recently demolished the Rebiya Kadeer Trade Center in Urumqi, Xinjiang, a vital hub for Uyghur culture and commerce, as reported by VOA. This center, once inhabited by more than 800 predominantly Uyghur-owned businesses, has been deserted since 2009. Authorities forcibly ordered local business owners to vacate the premises before proceeding with the demolition, which took place without any public notice.

Condemnation from Activists

Uyghur rights activists have condemned this demolition, perceiving it as part of China’s broader strategy to undermine Uyghur identity and heritage. The event has sparked heightened international concern regarding China’s policies in Xinjiang, which have been characterized by allegations of mass detentions and cultural suppression, prompting claims of crimes against humanity.

Rebiya Kadeer’s Response

Rebiya Kadeer, the center’s namesake and a notable Uyghur rights advocate, criticized the demolition as a deliberate attempt to erase her legacy. Kadeer, who has been living in exile in the U.S. since her release from imprisonment in 2005, continues to advocate for Uyghur rights. She has expressed that her family members have suffered persecution due to her activism, while the Chinese government has yet to comment on the legal ramifications of the demolition.

Source : China Demolishes Uyghur Business Landmark in Xinjiang – Shia Waves

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Yakult Unveils Restructuring Plans for Its China Operations | ESM Magazine

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Yakult reorganized its China operations, dissolving the Shanghai subsidiary while opening a new branch. Manufacturing now consolidates at Wuxi and Tianjin plants, aiming for enhanced efficiency and growth.


Yakult’s Business Reorganisation in China

Yakult has announced a significant reorganisation of its operations in China, aiming to enhance competitiveness and sustainability. The company has dissolved its wholly-owned subsidiary, Shanghai Yakult, which previously managed manufacturing and sales functions. This strategic move is expected to streamline its operations in the Chinese market.

New Branch and Manufacturing Adjustments

Yakult’s head office in China has established a new branch in Shanghai, transferring the sales division from Shanghai Yakult to this location. As of December 6, the branch has started selling various products, including Yakult and its light variants. Meanwhile, the manufacturing plant in Shanghai has ceased operations, with production capacity now absorbed by the Wuxi and Tianjin plants to ensure efficient supply.

Commitment to Growth

The company remains steadfast in its dedication to the Chinese market and is optimistic about future growth. Yakult reassured stakeholders that the reorganisation will have minimal financial impact and aims to enhance efficiency. Founded in 2005 in Shanghai, Yakult China currently employs approximately 2,216 individuals, reinforcing its commitment to customer health and expanding operations.

Source : Yakult Announces Reorganisation Of China Business | ESM Magazine

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UAE-China Trade Set to Surpass $100 Billion This Year – Arabian Business

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UAE and China aim to surpass $100 billion in trade this year, highlighting their growing economic partnership and mutual interests in various sectors, as reported by Arabian Business.


UAE-China Trade Growth

The UAE and China are on track to see their trade surpass $100 billion in 2023. This significant milestone underscores the strengthening economic ties between the two nations. The robust growth is attributed to various sectors, including technology, agriculture, and logistics.

Bilateral Initiatives

In recent years, both countries have launched several initiatives aimed at enhancing bilateral trade. These efforts are designed to facilitate smoother cross-border transactions and promote investments. The UAE’s strategic location as a regional hub complements China’s expanding market reach, benefiting both economies.

Economic Impact

This burgeoning trade relationship is expected to create more job opportunities and stimulate economic growth in both countries. As the cooperation deepens, stakeholders anticipate additional advancements that will further solidify UAE-China ties in the global market.

Source : UAE and China trade to pass $100bn this year – Arabian Business

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